1. Introduction
Migration diplomacy is defined as a process of employing political tools, weapons, and processes involve the use of migration flows as means to achieve demands in case of a sour relationship between states
[51] | Tsourapas, G., 2019. The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4): 464-481. |
[51]
. The existing literature indicates that repatriation, deportation, harassment, and amendment of migration laws are usually weapons and tools for migration politics
[51] | Tsourapas, G., 2019. The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4): 464-481. |
[51]
. These migration diplomacies are employed in both Global North and Global South countries irrespective of whether the country is a democratic or authoritarian state
[29] | Liang, Z., 2016. China's great migration and the prospects of a more integrated society. Annual Review of Sociology, 42, pp. 451-471. |
[44] | Norman, K. P., 2020. Reluctant Reception: Refugees, Migration and Governance in the Middle East and North Africa. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[29, 44]
. The paper is grounded in paradigm of migration diplomacy that ensures migration cooperation’s in international relations and state’s coercion in case of conflict
[49] | Thiollet, H., 2020. Unlocking migration politics: researching beyond biases and gaps in migration studies and comparative politics. In KNAW Academy Colloquium (pp. 115-125). |
[49]
. Both Global North’ and Global South’ states execute migration cooperation’s and coercion to achieve their demands
[28] | Korsi, L., 2022. Do we go or do we stay? Drivers of migration from the Global South to the Global North. African Journal of Development Studies, 12(1), pp. 71-87. |
[49] | Thiollet, H., 2020. Unlocking migration politics: researching beyond biases and gaps in migration studies and comparative politics. In KNAW Academy Colloquium (pp. 115-125). |
[28, 49]
.
Migration forms part of modern economy because of globalization, tourism, and technological advancement
[55] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Exploring South Africa’s Pre and Post-apartheid Border System: Border Securitisation, Illegal Migration and Cross-border Crimes. Journal of African Foreign Affairs, 11(2), p. 123. |
[55]
. However, international migration theorist is silent in migration literature
[55] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Exploring South Africa’s Pre and Post-apartheid Border System: Border Securitisation, Illegal Migration and Cross-border Crimes. Journal of African Foreign Affairs, 11(2), p. 123. |
[55]
. And conflicted relationship, cooperation, and conditions that make them fail or succeed. One of the possible reasons could be that the realist and neo-realist traditions might not regard issues of forced displacement, transit, emigration, and immigration seriously as compared to climate change and trade policy
[3] | Adamson, F. B. and Tsourapas, G., 2019. Migration diplomacy in world politics. International Studies Perspectives, 20(2), pp. 113-128. |
[3]
. Because migration theorists are ‘disjointed’ and ‘fragmented’ across the disciplines of studies such as Geography, Sociology, Development Studies, and Anthropology
[56] | Vorvornator, L. K. and Enaifoghe, A., 2024. South African migration policy on the Zimbabwean special permit renewal experience: Diplomacy of weapons for power. Journal of Law and Sustainable Development, 12(8), pp. e3514-e3514. |
[56]
. Instances where literature is available, scholars concentrate on immigrant nations like the USA, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, and the European country’s politics rather than the emigration countries
[1] | Acharya, A. and Buzan, B., 2019. The making of global international relations. Cambridge University Press. |
[1]
. In other words, migration literature skewed to the Global North at the expense of the Global South
[58] | Yeoh, B. S., et al. 1999. Migrant female domestic workers: debating the economic, social and political impacts in Singapore. International Migration Review, 33(1), pp. 114-136. |
[58]
. Based on that research argues that ‘‘to focus on the consequences of immigration in wealthy, migrant-receiving societies, and to ignore the causes and consequences of migration in origin countries’’, results into biases in the international-relations theory to the highest degree
[11] | Castles, Stephen., 2014. TheAgeofMigration - International Population Movements in the Modern World, 5th ed. New York: The Guilford Press. |
[11]
.
Worthy to note, migration diplomacy is the asymmetric powers displayed by the Western countries (European nations, the USA and Canada), as the destination states, the authoritarian states such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, geopolitical states (Jordan and Lebanon), and rentier nations (Turkey)
[3] | Adamson, F. B. and Tsourapas, G., 2019. Migration diplomacy in world politics. International Studies Perspectives, 20(2), pp. 113-128. |
[18] | Fitzpatrick, M. P. 2015 Purging the Empire: Mass Expulsions in Germany, 1871-1914. Oxford: Oxford University Press. |
[3, 18]
. Refugee rentier nation is defined as a nation that share borders with superpower nations such as Turkey. And Jordan and Lebanon are non-refugee rentier states and employ migration diplomacy of back-scratching would not be tackled in this study.
The study aims to explore migration diplomacy weapons used by the Global South nations to coerce and leverage in case of deterioration in bilateral relations. Due to current ‘unprecedented’ refugee manipulation in the media. Because, it is under research compared to the Global North migration. International-relations politics on migration was given cold shoulders, until recently and even rated ‘low’ rather than ‘high’
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[25] | Joppke, C., 1998. Why liberal states accept unwanted immigration. World Politics 50(2): 266-293. |
[21, 25]
. Due to that less work is done on Global South migration diplomacy and politics
[3] | Adamson, F. B. and Tsourapas, G., 2019. Migration diplomacy in world politics. International Studies Perspectives, 20(2), pp. 113-128. |
[52] | Ulrichsen, K. C., 2020. Qatar and the Gulf crisis: A study of resilience. Oxford University Press, USA. |
[3, 52]
.
As a result, the paper identifies the work of
[49] | Thiollet, H., 2020. Unlocking migration politics: researching beyond biases and gaps in migration studies and comparative politics. In KNAW Academy Colloquium (pp. 115-125). |
[49]
migration diplomacy such as coercion and leverage between interstates politics, namely: restriction, repatriation, migration laws amendment and, deportability to achieve their goals. Research identifies: ‘‘migration policy can be a tool for states to exercise their national interests’’
[2] | Adamson, F. B., 2006. Crossing borders: International migration and national security. International Security 31(1): 165-199. |
[2]
. How do migration diplomacy and politics interplay for the Global South states? And under what conditions does migration diplomacy become successful or failed? The study draws from the Kenya’s case study as a weak state employed coercion migration diplomacy such as deportation, deportability and harassment to achieve her goals.
2. Background of the Study
Kenya’s migration diplomacy case study as a weak state started in 1991 through cooperation migration policy such as hospitality and cultural identities. Kenya served as host to the Somalia, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), South Sudan refugees and asylum seekers
[42] | Najafizada, H. and Maroof, H., 2015. ‘Harassment’ drives Afghan refugees from Pakistan. |
[42]
. In 2015, 2016, and 2019, the government of Kenya (GOK), changed its foreign policy cooperation to coercion repeatedly engaged in threats of en masse deportation against the Somalia refugees due to the terrorist attacks
. Which no evidence was found for the first two relating to the asylum seekers and refugees
. The Kenya government continued with threats after the attack and received over $200 million as extra aid from the European Union, the US, and the UK. The Kenya government long labelled the Somali refugees as security threats to the state after the US Commission attack in Nairobi and Mombasa in 1998 and 2002 respectively
[4] | Adelman, H., and Abdi, A., 2003. How long is too long? Durable solutions for the Dadaab refugees. Report prepared for CARE Canada, Toronto: Centre for Refugee Studies, York University, 30 June. |
[4]
. This was confirmed by cable which states that: ‘‘
the GOK sees Somalia as a security problem not just for Kenya but for the entire region … The GOK is particularly worried that at least some of those entering Kenya are extremists rather than refugees’’
. The Kenya government began the shift in the hospitality to the Somalia refugees and replaced them with restrictive and encampment-forced refugees in 2012. However, the ruling was turned down by the Kenya High Court that it violates the refugee rights
. Another threat of expulsion resumed after the attack on the Westgate shopping mall by Al-Shabaab. The attack killed 67 people and it forced a tripartite agreement between the Kenya government, Somalia government, and UNHCR
[42] | Najafizada, H. and Maroof, H., 2015. ‘Harassment’ drives Afghan refugees from Pakistan. |
[42]
. In 2015, the gruesome killing of 148 Garissa University College students in Kenya by Al-Shabaab triggered another threat. This exerted pressure on the international community resulted to an amount of €94 million raised, due to refugee humanitarian ground from the Ministerial Pledging Conference on Somalia Refugees
[36] | Micinski, N. R., 2018. Refugee policy as foreign policy: Iraqi and Afghan refugee resettlements to the United States. Refugee Survey Quarterly 20(3): 253-278. |
[36]
.
In 2016, closure of
Dadaab refugee camps, were once threatened by the interior minister forced the UK added £20 million. And the US also gave $20 million from the State Department of Emergency Refugees and Migration Assistant Fund coffers
[36] | Micinski, N. R., 2018. Refugee policy as foreign policy: Iraqi and Afghan refugee resettlements to the United States. Refugee Survey Quarterly 20(3): 253-278. |
[36]
. Yet, while the deadline for the camp’s closure approached, the High Court ruled against the decision that it violates the constitution of Kenya
. In 2019,
DusitD2 Hotel attacked by the Al-Shabaab ‘resurrected’ the threats by the Kenya government. And UNHCR was called upon to relocate the refugees ‘‘to expedite the relocation of the refugees and asylum-seekers residing therein’’
. Meanwhile, police harassment, deportability, deportation threats, and refugees torture continued
. While the Dadaab Camp was not closed the conditions become deplorable from 2018 to 2019 due to withdrawal of some basic services.
The Kenya government’s support for cooperative foreign policy shifted to coercion, which intensified through deportation threats, expulsion, harassment, and violence (in)directly to the Somali refugees and asylum seekers. But indirectly towards the country of origins (COOs) and the international community. In July 2019, the repeated threats pressurized the EU to donate €13.5 million to the Somalia refugees in Kenya. And subsequently in September 2019, €2,025 million was donated to the UNICEF programs in Dadaab and Kakuma camps
[37] | Micinski, N. R., 2021. Threats, deportability and aid: The politics of refugee rentier states and regional stability. Security Dialogue, p. 09670106211027464. |
[38] | Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan., 2017. Emergency grant aid to Afghan refugee and host communities in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan. 24 February. Available at: https://www.mofa.go.jp/press/release/ press4e_001490.html |
[37, 38]
.
From the foregoing discussion, the paper argues that migration cooperation’s policy of hosting Somali refugees in Kenya has given the GOK strategic importance in the international community. The Kenya government employs vulnerable refugees as weapons and received aid. Despite, the GOK will be unable to gain funding through multilateral discussions or petitions, they were able to attain such benchmarks. Why do the South-South states pit against themselves, and under what conditions do they become successful or fail? The paper is structured as follows; theoretical framework employed and how it was applied, the paper's argument, primarily focus on literature and concept definitions, methods, findings, conclusion and recommendations.
4. Literature Review
Tools of migration diplomacy policy manipulation: Repatriation and coercion as negative elements, and cooperative migration as positive for Global South states.
4.1. TransAsia Bilateral Migration Policy Case
Research in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) from 2014 to 2021 reveals that the Philippines employed repatriation and restriction (withdrawal and reduction of the migration respectively) to achieve their demands
[32] | Maharaj, B., 2010. Immigration to post-apartheid South Africa: Critical reflections. Immigration Worldwide: Policies, practices, and trends, 363. |
[32]
. The cooperate migration diplomacy and bilateral agreement between the UAE and the Philippines in the 1980s made Filipinos migrated to the Arab nation as household service workers (HSW). The Filipinos created a niche market in the cleaning sector. As a result, the demand for their services increased in the 1990s to the maximum
[34] | Martin, P. L., 1993. Migration and trade: The case of the Philippines. |
[34]
. In 2014, there was diplomatic tension between the two states saw the Philippines applied restrictions on migrants’ flow into the UAE. Despite this, replacements were looked at from Ethiopia for the HSW. However, the services could not meet the standard of the Filipinos. During, the restriction processes the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) states that: ‘‘
the suspension of the verification of contracts of household service workers by the UAE is unfortunate. In this instance, [the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration—POEA] stopped the processing of HSWs contracts for the UAE... I have directed the POEA to do the same with contracts of HSWs intending to work in the UAE that is not verified. I am concerned that without the requisite verification, HSWs who will travel to UAE will be vulnerable to human trafficking, which we must avoid at all costs’’ . The UAE being adamant about the demands of the Philippines government, forced the Philippines authorities to adopt coercion migration policy such as citizen’s repatriation. The study argues that it affected the living standard of the migrants and their households. And the UAE citizens sub-standard services received, sparked an outcry for Philippines citizen services
[33] | Malit Jr, F. T. and Tsourapas, G., 2021. Migration diplomacy in the Gulf-non-state actors, cross-border mobility, and the United Arab Emirates. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 47(11), pp. 2556-2577. |
[33]
. This compelled the UAE authorities to change foreign policies to conditions stipulated by the Philippines government for the HSW in March, 2021.
In another development, during a diplomatic crisis when countries (the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain) cut ties with Qatar, on the 7th of June 2017; they demanded their respective nationals to return home in a week’s time
[53] | Vandewalle, D., 2012. A history of modern Libya. Cambridge University Press. |
[53]
. Qatari firms and companies struggled to get a replacement
[53] | Vandewalle, D., 2012. A history of modern Libya. Cambridge University Press. |
[53]
. The study argues that humankind’s reduction to degrade labels such as ‘poor’ reveals a lack of accountability and policy integrity by government authorities. This makes it nothing more than migrants’ employment as a political game among states. On top of that, the paper believes that this exposes refugees’ lives in jeopardy and exploitation in host countries through deportation
[3] | Adamson, F. B. and Tsourapas, G., 2019. Migration diplomacy in world politics. International Studies Perspectives, 20(2), pp. 113-128. |
[3]
.
4.2. Ethnic Migration Flows and Regional Conflict
In 2003 when Hong Kong threatened to impose a monthly tax on the Philippines’ HSWs, the Philippines authorities employed a restrictive policy curbed the migration flows to Hong Kong
[30] | Lohmann, J., et al. 2018. Wenn Staaten Migration (aus) nutzen. Über Exterritorialisierung und Akteurschaft in der strategischen Migrationspolitik. Z'Flucht. Zeitschrift für Flucht-und Flüchtlingsforschung, 2(1), pp. 108-127. |
[30]
. Being a regional; dominance in a specific skill could let the country restrict labour flow to another country. This was the case between Myanmar and Thailand when Myanmar refused to officially let migrant workers outflow to Thailand around the end of 2010. In response to ethnic armed groups’ station on the border between Thai and Myanmar. Such restrictive measures were carried out through an increased in the passports cost and laying of embargo on the countries. In the same vein, the crackdown on Rohingya which the Prime Minister of Malaysia described as ‘genocide’ did not go well with Myanmar authorities because emigrants’ labours from Myanmar seeking employment in Malaysia being restricted
[37] | Micinski, N. R., 2021. Threats, deportability and aid: The politics of refugee rentier states and regional stability. Security Dialogue, p. 09670106211027464. |
[37]
.
The bilateral agreement signed by the Kuwait and Philippines for sending HDWs to Kuwait also deteriorated just like the UAE relationship. The Philippines government employed restrictive measures to achieve its goals against Kuwait
[44] | Norman, K. P., 2020. Reluctant Reception: Refugees, Migration and Governance in the Middle East and North Africa. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[44]
. In 2018, BBC reported the missing Filipino that was found frozen in the employer’s house after she was reported missing for over a year
. The situation brought a strained relationship and sparked outrage between the two countries. The Philippines Labour Department immediately stopped processing travelling documents for the overseas Filipino workers (OFW). The Philippines President elaborated on the restriction measures maintains that: ‘‘we have lost about four Filipino women in the last few months’’. He continued ‘‘it's always in Kuwait. My advice is that we talk to them, state the truth and just tell them that it's not acceptable anymore’’. Foreign Affairs Secretary Cayetano added: ‘‘I’m expecting a good response from the ambassador, but of course we have to see the response translate into action, meaning the protection of our OFWs’’
.
On 13 February 2018, Kuwait responded to the Philippines authorities’ restriction policy through the diversification tactics by recruiting migrants from Indonesia, Nepal, Bangladesh, and Vietnam via the state-owned agency known as Al Durra Recruitment Company. In April 2018 an attempt was made to focus on recruiting domestic workers from Ethiopia. The Head of Kuwait country’s General Department of Residency Affairs, General Al-Maarifi, made it public that: ‘‘we aim to open the door to the recruitment of Ethiopian workers to fill the deficit of domestic servants and reduce prices’’
. Kuwait’s responses to the crisis made the Philippines government intensified their coercion migration repatriation politics of their citizens on 21 April 2021
. As a result, prompted a diplomatic protest in Kuwait which forced the government delegation to the seat of Manila on 11 May 2018. Afterwards the two parties smoked a peace pipe called ‘‘Agreement on the Employment of Domestic Workers between Philippines and Kuwait’’
[37] | Micinski, N. R., 2021. Threats, deportability and aid: The politics of refugee rentier states and regional stability. Security Dialogue, p. 09670106211027464. |
[37]
. In a media briefing, Philippines Foreign Secretary and Kuwait Foreign Minister admitted that: ‘‘a short time ago we signed an agreement between the two countries on the employment of domestic workers’’. The statement confirmed the new agreement that was reached through the migration diplomacy of restriction and repatriation. Aftermath, the Philippines President on 16 May lifted the ban on the OFWs recruitment. Therefore, the study argues that bilateral agreement signed addressed ethnicity, geopolitics challenges as well as the corporal value of human life. It further addresses migration diplomacy, labourer vulnerabilities between two governments, questions of policy and security.
4.3. Political Schemas in Migration Diplomacy - Xenophobic Earned Votes Through ‘Fear Based Othering’
Studies about politicians worldwide, whether democratic or autocratic states, and especially in Global South countries revealed that, migration politics is adopted as weapons to cover up politician’s failures for services delivery promised on campaign trails
[16] | Ellermann, A., 2009. States Against Migrants: Deportation in Germany and the United States. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[16]
. Politicians usually attack migrants, refugees and asylum seekers as threat to security. They accuse them to be cause of unemployment and low standard of living among citizens. Pressures are exerted by constituent members for migrants’ expulsion. However, the politicians usually backtrack on execution of deportation plans once voted into power
[16] | Ellermann, A., 2009. States Against Migrants: Deportation in Germany and the United States. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[16]
. Migration diplomacy is employed by those states to be recognised globally. For instance, in Kenya during the election periods, the Somali refugees were used as a ‘campaign message’ to the voters as posing security threats to the nation. Meanwhile, evidence indicated that they were not a threat
[40] | Mitsilegas, V., 2006. Constitutional Implications of Mutual Recognition in Criminal Matters in the EU, The. Common Market L. Rev., 43, p. 1277. |
[40]
. The Refugees Consortium in Kenya 2003 not pleased with the anti-immigration messages responded that: ‘‘
……in the run-up to elections many politicians will not hesitate to manipulate the refugee situation as an electioneering gimmick. Members of Parliament have been known to distort facts and stereotypes and vilify refugees as the sole source of increased crime and insecurity, the proliferation of illegal arms and scarcity of resources... Blaming refugees detracts attention from their responsibilities towards their constituents . Meanwhile, research indicates that politicians who portray refugees as a threat to the Kenya government were friends of the US who declared ‘‘war on terror’’
[40] | Mitsilegas, V., 2006. Constitutional Implications of Mutual Recognition in Criminal Matters in the EU, The. Common Market L. Rev., 43, p. 1277. |
[40]
. In a surprise move, the refugees in the cities and towns were ordered back into the camps.
4.4. Mass Deportation and Constituional Rights
State-based repatriation is executed through the laws passed by the national legislature. Mass deportation of migrants is adopted as a result of pressure from the municipal government and constituency members
[18] | Fitzpatrick, M. P. 2015 Purging the Empire: Mass Expulsions in Germany, 1871-1914. Oxford: Oxford University Press. |
[18]
. The success and failure of such decisions of the parliament depend on the states’ institutional functions, whether they uphold rule of law and checks and balances
[18] | Fitzpatrick, M. P. 2015 Purging the Empire: Mass Expulsions in Germany, 1871-1914. Oxford: Oxford University Press. |
[18]
. The authoritarian and military states such as Azerbaijan, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia may be successful in passing mass repatriation laws
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[21]
.
However, in countries where democracy prevails and the state institutions are effective such as; Canada, the US and most EU members, the courts may block such acts on humanitarian grounds
[25] | Joppke, C., 1998. Why liberal states accept unwanted immigration. World Politics 50(2): 266-293. |
[25]
. In other words, the states with hard-power might be successful with the coercion migration policy compared to the soft-power nations
[44] | Norman, K. P., 2020. Reluctant Reception: Refugees, Migration and Governance in the Middle East and North Africa. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[44]
.
Studies indicate that migration politics such as pressure groups spring-up and demand governments to repatriate migrants during the recession phase of the economy. Especially, when the unemployment rate is high
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[21]
. However, migrants are welcomed during the prosperity phase of the economy. Because more skilled and unskilled labours are needed to develop the economy
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[21]
. The prosperity phases explain the reason Germany turned to be an immigrant country after World War II to construct the country. Hence, guest workers were allowed into the country
[44] | Norman, K. P., 2020. Reluctant Reception: Refugees, Migration and Governance in the Middle East and North Africa. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
[44]
. The process termed as an ‘‘economic miracle’’
[45] | Oyen, M., 2015. The Right of Return: Chinese displaced persons and the International Refugee Organization, 1947-56. Modern Asian Studies, 49(2), pp. 546-571. |
[45]
. Meanwhile, before then Germany was an emigrant state notably to the USA
[45] | Oyen, M., 2015. The Right of Return: Chinese displaced persons and the International Refugee Organization, 1947-56. Modern Asian Studies, 49(2), pp. 546-571. |
[45]
.
Negative occurrences in the CODs, migrants are accused as perpetrators of the such crimes
[40] | Mitsilegas, V., 2006. Constitutional Implications of Mutual Recognition in Criminal Matters in the EU, The. Common Market L. Rev., 43, p. 1277. |
[40]
. For instance, studies revealed that sporadic religious conflicts that engulfed Nigeria states in the 1980s, migrants were accused of being security threats dubbed in the history as ‘Kano Riots’
[6] | Anarfi, J., et al. 2003. Migration from and to Ghana: A background paper. University of Sussex: DRC on Migration, Globalisation and Poverty. |
[6]
. This forced the then president Shagari employed coercion migration politics of expulsion in 1983 against the immigrants
[6] | Anarfi, J., et al. 2003. Migration from and to Ghana: A background paper. University of Sussex: DRC on Migration, Globalisation and Poverty. |
[6]
. About 1.3 million Ghanaians were deported to Ghana
[6] | Anarfi, J., et al. 2003. Migration from and to Ghana: A background paper. University of Sussex: DRC on Migration, Globalisation and Poverty. |
[6]
. Migration expulsion is rampant in the Western African region for reasons such as low economic growth and development, and high unemployment rate
[6] | Anarfi, J., et al. 2003. Migration from and to Ghana: A background paper. University of Sussex: DRC on Migration, Globalisation and Poverty. |
[6]
. Previous deportations that took place in the West African region involved Ghanaians repatriation of Nigerians in 1954 and 1969. Togo also repatriated Ivoirians, Nigerians and Beninese in 1958
.
During, Saddam’s regime in Iraqi, coercion migration diplomacy was employed against Egypt in 1990, when Saddam realised Egypt was in support of Operation Desert Storm (ODS). Saddam called for massive repatriation of thousands of Egyptian workers in Iraq
[52] | Ulrichsen, K. C., 2020. Qatar and the Gulf crisis: A study of resilience. Oxford University Press, USA. |
[52]
. Repatriation situation forced Egypt to abandon its foreign policy support for ODS
[52] | Ulrichsen, K. C., 2020. Qatar and the Gulf crisis: A study of resilience. Oxford University Press, USA. |
[52]
. The same year saw Saudi Arabia repatriated over 800,000 Yemeni immigrants from her country. Because of Yemenis’ inability to condemn the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait under the United Security Council
[51] | Tsourapas, G., 2019. The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4): 464-481. |
[51]
.
Study identified that the tactics of raiding migrants’ communities and money extortion from them are employed. Migrants were regarded as automated teller machines (ATMs)
[43] | Natter, K., 2018. Rethinking immigration policy theory beyond 'Western liberal democracies. Comparative migration studies, 6(1), pp. 1-21. |
[43]
. These findings were perpetrated in Pakistan against the Afghan refugees when the authorities decided to extend the proof of registration (PoR) for a short period of only six months
[43] | Natter, K., 2018. Rethinking immigration policy theory beyond 'Western liberal democracies. Comparative migration studies, 6(1), pp. 1-21. |
[43]
. Research described the Afghan refugees’ harassment as ‘‘barbaric’’ and ‘‘unbearable’’
[43] | Natter, K., 2018. Rethinking immigration policy theory beyond 'Western liberal democracies. Comparative migration studies, 6(1), pp. 1-21. |
[43]
. Harassment and refugee camp raiding intensified when a massacre occurred which killed several civilians
. The Afghan refugees’ harassment rendered them vulnerable from 2012 to 2016, and Pakistan intensified their action attracted their neighbouring states, and the international community
[43] | Natter, K., 2018. Rethinking immigration policy theory beyond 'Western liberal democracies. Comparative migration studies, 6(1), pp. 1-21. |
[43]
.
During the same time, the US nearly doubled financial assistance for refugees in Pakistan from $18 million (2012), to $37 million (2016), whereas Japan contributed an additional $7 million in emergency aid for Afghan refugees in Pakistan
[39] | Milner, J., 2009. Refugees, the State and the Politics of Asylum in Africa. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. |
[39]
. Afghan refugees were coerced and repatriated into Afghanistan signified Pakistan’s coercion migration diplomacy goals toward their neighbour was successful. Pakistan also employed mass repatriation, created legal uncertainty and deportability as measures of coercion migration diplomacy against the
non-refoulment principle by the UN Geneva Convention 1951. Non-refoulement principle indicates that refugees and asylum seekers are not supposed to be repatriated to their COO in which they might be persecuted. However, individuals may be deported based on security and safety issues (UN Convention, 1951).
4.5. Permits and Remittances as Tactical Tools of Manipulation
Global South states adopt short-term renewal of permits, PoR and any legal document that may legalise migrants
[48] | Thiollet, H., 2011. Migration as diplomacy: Labor migrants, refugees, and Arab regional politics in the oil-rich countries. International Labor and Working-Class History, 79(1), pp. 103-121. |
[48]
. As stated earlier, Afghan refugees in Pakistan PoR were renewed for only six months. The Kenya government also adopted the same strategy against the Somali refugees. The current Zimbabwean Exception Permit (ZEP) for an extension of one year in 2022 for the ZEP-holder in South Africa. Later, extended to six months in two consecutive times in 2023 (from January to June and July to December)
[57] | Vorvornator, L. K. and Mdiniso, J. M., 2022. Drivers of corruption and its impact on Africa development: Critical reflections from a post-independence perspective. African Journal of Development Studies, 2022(si2), p. 295. |
[57]
. Studies revealed that Afghan refugees’ permits were renewed but no evidence was given as proof in Pakistan. This exposed refugees and migrants to harassment by the authorities
[48] | Thiollet, H., 2011. Migration as diplomacy: Labor migrants, refugees, and Arab regional politics in the oil-rich countries. International Labor and Working-Class History, 79(1), pp. 103-121. |
[48]
. In justifying Pakistan’s coercion strategy, the State Minister and Frontier Regions said: ‘‘
the international community desires us to review this policy but we are clear on this point. The refugees have become a threat to law and order, security, demography, economy and local culture. Enough is enough. If the international community is so concerned, they should open the doors of their countries to these refugees. Afghans will be more than happy to be absorbed by the developed countries, like Western Europe, the USA, Canada, and Australia’’ [48] | Thiollet, H., 2011. Migration as diplomacy: Labor migrants, refugees, and Arab regional politics in the oil-rich countries. International Labor and Working-Class History, 79(1), pp. 103-121. |
[48]
.
Coercion migration diplomacy of remittance sanctioning is adopted by the CODs, since most of emigrant’s countries such as India, Mexico, Philippines, and Egypt depend on them (remittances) for economic growth and development
[22] | Hufbauer, G. C., et al. 1990. Economic sanctions reconsidered: History and current policy (Vol. 1). Peterson Institute. |
[22]
. Research asserts that: ‘‘because economic sanctions can impose costs … without carrying the degree of risk attached to military actions’’
[35] | Masud, M. M. H., 2021. The International Community’s Influences on the Refugee Policies of African States: The Cases of Tanzania and Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, UNIVERSITY OF OLDENBURG). |
[35]
. It continued that ‘‘governments use them (remittance sanctions) to signal resolve and exert pressure for policy changes’’
[35] | Masud, M. M. H., 2021. The International Community’s Influences on the Refugee Policies of African States: The Cases of Tanzania and Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, UNIVERSITY OF OLDENBURG). |
[35]
. For example, North Korea’s ballistic missile testing which Japan was against, forced Japan threatened remittances sanctioning against North Korea, which was estimated between $600 million to $1 billion per year
[20] | Haney, P. J. and Vanderbush, W., 2005. The Making of an Embargo. US-Cuban Relations, 1959-1980. P. Haney, & V. Walt, The Cuban Embargo: Domestic Politics Of American Foreign Policy, pp. 11-30. |
[20]
. Studies identified that Libya and Jordan leveraged Egypt to change some of her foreign policies through remittances sanctioning
[51] | Tsourapas, G., 2019. The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4): 464-481. |
[51]
. The situation described as ‘‘migration interdependence’’
[52] | Ulrichsen, K. C., 2020. Qatar and the Gulf crisis: A study of resilience. Oxford University Press, USA. |
[52]
.
4.6. Rentier States as Refugee and Migration Havens
The states that are regional powerhouses for peace and security may become relevant like refugee rentier states due to maintaining of peace and security in the region
[13] | Cornelius, W, A. and Rosenblum, M, R., 2005 Immigration and politics. Annual Review of Political Science 8(1): 99-119. De Genova NP (2002) Migrant ‘illegality’ and deportability in everyday life. Annual Review of Anthropology 31(1): 419-447. |
[13]
. This implies such nations become regional powerhouses and are strategically important for peace and security. Because, the international community is interested in peace and security in the regions and continents so that their ideas can be imposed on the people
[13] | Cornelius, W, A. and Rosenblum, M, R., 2005 Immigration and politics. Annual Review of Political Science 8(1): 99-119. De Genova NP (2002) Migrant ‘illegality’ and deportability in everyday life. Annual Review of Anthropology 31(1): 419-447. |
[13]
. The regional states become CODs that absorb refugees from neighbouring states to curb violence escalation
[12] | Chung, S., 2020. Resistance and acceptance: Ambivalent attitudes toward the ageing body and antiaging practices among older Korean migrants living in New Zealand. Journal of Women and Aging, 32(3), pp. 259-278. |
[12]
. South Africa is one of the regional peace and security countries in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), and on the African continent. After the demised of apartheid her hospitality and ‘ubuntu’, implies 'humanity towards others' is extended to refugees from neighbouring countries and farther afield from Liberia, Somalis, and DRC
[33] | Malit Jr, F. T. and Tsourapas, G., 2021. Migration diplomacy in the Gulf-non-state actors, cross-border mobility, and the United Arab Emirates. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 47(11), pp. 2556-2577. |
[33]
. Not forgetting the economic migrants from Zimbabwean and political upheavals during 2009
[14] | Crush, J. and Ramachandran, S., 2010. Xenophobia, international migration and development. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 11(2), pp. 209-228. |
[14]
. The migrants perceived South Africa as a 'haven'. As if gold are used to construct the South African pavements
[14] | Crush, J. and Ramachandran, S., 2010. Xenophobia, international migration and development. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 11(2), pp. 209-228. |
[14]
. The foregoing explanation makes South Africa strategically significant to the international community.
A nation might also employ coercion migration diplomacy such as deportability. Deportability does not necessarily mean repatriate of migrants but rather ‘‘the possibility of deportation’’ and subject to lawful violence
[15] | De Genova, N, P., 2002. Migrant ‘illegality’ and deportability in everyday life. Annual Review of Anthropology 31(1): 419-447. |
[15]
. States target migrant’s 'illegality', which makes them vulnerable. And they are exploited for cheap labour. Undocumented migrants live in fear of deportation and are subjected to intimidation and harassment because of their precarious status. Deportability is constructed by passing laws defining illegality and active harassment by the state through roadblocks, workplace raids, and home arrests. Deportability is adopted with few migrants arrested to send the messages across to the COOs and international community. The CODs know that it is costly to engage in deportation of all migrants. In Kenya’s case, when deportability was employed towards the Somalia refugees, the authorities maintained that: ‘‘
Dadaab (Daghale, Ifo, Ifo II, Hagdera, Kambios) and Kakuma Refugee Camps should be closed and resident refugees repatriated to their country of origin because of fears that refugee camps were safe havens for terrorist groups’’ . Immediately after the deportability threats, UNHCR started to negotiate a tripartite agreement among the UNHCR, the GOK and Somalia government. And additional financial aid was granted
[42] | Najafizada, H. and Maroof, H., 2015. ‘Harassment’ drives Afghan refugees from Pakistan. |
[42]
. In a media briefing, UNHCR's representative in Kenya posits that: ‘‘
it's very important to underline that no one is forcing Somalis to leave Kenya. The government and people of Kenya have tirelessly provided protection and assistance to Somali refugees for two decades. The agreement we signed on Sunday does not mean Kenya is no longer willing to do so’’ [42] | Najafizada, H. and Maroof, H., 2015. ‘Harassment’ drives Afghan refugees from Pakistan. |
[42]
.
4.7. Cooperative Migration Diplomacy as Positive for Global South States
Migration diplomacy of cooperation considered to be positive is practiced by the CODs for migrants’ cross-border mobility. This occurs during Gaddafi’s regime in Libya when he was pursuing the United Arab World (UAW) dream
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
. Migration cooperation’s allow states’ frozen visas and free movement of goods. In 1971 both Egypt and Tunisia signed an agreement with Libya for visa-free for their citizens. Gaddafi nurtured the idea of Egyptian President Abdel Nasser to unite the Arab world allowed free movement of Tunisians and Egyptians. Research asserts Gaddafi’s action that: ‘‘it is the self-appointed guardian of Nasser's legacy nurturing the notion of Arab nationalism and unity’’
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
. Gaddafi was vocal against free movement curtailment in the Middle East. He was quoted for promoting ‘‘the unification of all Arabic-speaking people’’ as the only way to achieve economic growth and development
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
.
As the relationship turned soured between Egypt and Libya, Gaddafi resorted to deportation, coercion, repatriation and an embargo on Egyptian migration to Libya
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[21]
. The situation forced Egypt withdrew from negotiations of the Federal Arab Republic. Later on, Egypt accused Gaddafi of being ‘‘mentally retarded’’ and ‘‘insane’’
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
. Egyptian migrants faced barbaric conditions in Libya forced the then-ruling party, Arab Socialist Union parliamentarians passed a law for the repatriation of over 300,000 Egyptians migrants in Libya
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
. Aftermath, Libya adopted mass deportation by the Egyptians irrespective of their status (being unauthorized or authorized migrants). Each day over 10,000 Egyptians are deported and governor of Marsa Matrouh received the migrants into Egypt
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[54]
. In another development when Tunisia President Bourghuiba’s visited Washington DC in August 1985, over 5,000 Tunisia workers in Libya's belongings were confiscated to either declare to be 'Arab nationality’ or face repatriation to Tunisia. This development forced the Tunisia diplomats to state that these actions ‘‘were intended to put pressure on Tunis to cut ties with the West’’
[17] | Fawat, I., 1985. Libya: Economic Crisis, Political Expulsions. AfricAsia, 22(1985), pp. 32-43. |
[17]
.
Gaddafi became less interested in the UAW in the 1990s. He extended migration cooperation’s to other African states such as Sudan and Chad to achieve his Pan-Africanism agenda, which established the Community of Sahel-Saharan States (CEN-SAD)
[17] | Fawat, I., 1985. Libya: Economic Crisis, Political Expulsions. AfricAsia, 22(1985), pp. 32-43. |
[17]
. The Schengen visas among European countries apart from Britain, and the Economic Community of West Africa (ECOWAS), are migration cooperation’s’ examples.
Cooperation migration diplomacy plays a role between the Middle East and Egypt. This made Egypt to export professionals for the developmental reasons to achieve the UAW under President Nasser
[51] | Tsourapas, G., 2019. The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4): 464-481. |
[51]
. Cuba’s migration diplomacy cooperation termed the ‘‘Cuban medical internationalism’’, extended to the African countries and Latin America as a form of 'hard-power' against the USA in reaction to the engineered refugee crises
[9] | Blue, S. A., 2010. Cuban medical internationalism: Domestic and international impacts. Journal of Latin American Geography, pp. 31-49. |
[9]
. Studies revealed migration diplomacy cooperation’s is practiced when nations would derive mutual benefits termed a positive-sum-game or win-win
[12] | Chung, S., 2020. Resistance and acceptance: Ambivalent attitudes toward the ageing body and antiaging practices among older Korean migrants living in New Zealand. Journal of Women and Aging, 32(3), pp. 259-278. |
[49] | Thiollet, H., 2020. Unlocking migration politics: researching beyond biases and gaps in migration studies and comparative politics. In KNAW Academy Colloquium (pp. 115-125). |
[12, 49]
. Research indicates that when Thailand assisted Taiwan to become a member of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), cooperation migration diplomacy developed between the two states in terms of sharing skilled labours. In some instances, the bilateral relations between the interstate’s 'fuel' the free labour migration between countries. This was revealed between Thailand and Singapore in signing the international flow of labour between their countries
[58] | Yeoh, B. S., et al. 1999. Migrant female domestic workers: debating the economic, social and political impacts in Singapore. International Migration Review, 33(1), pp. 114-136. |
[58]
.
6. Findings
Migration diplomacy such as coercion and leverage execution to be successful is based on the states’ position as being transit, immigrant and emigrant nations. Or the type of regime practices namely authoritarian, and power asymmetric
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[52] | Ulrichsen, K. C., 2020. Qatar and the Gulf crisis: A study of resilience. Oxford University Press, USA. |
[21, 52]
. The study’s findings reveal Global South states execute coercion in an attempt to be recognised as powerful nations, power-seeking, moral standing, status improvement, reputations and credentials
[18] | Fitzpatrick, M. P. 2015 Purging the Empire: Mass Expulsions in Germany, 1871-1914. Oxford: Oxford University Press. |
[18]
. However, normalcy, cordial relations and cooperation are ‘fanned' when relationships are intact. Through migration diplomacy cooperation with migrants, refugees, displaced population, and asylum seekers from COOs
[50] | Tsourapas, G., 2017. Migration diplomacy in the Global South: Cooperation, coercion and issue linkage in Gaddafi’s Libya. Third World Quarterly 38(10): 2367-2386. |
[54] | Vorvornator, L. K., 2024. Examining Migration Leverage and Coercion between Sending and Host Countries and their Success and Failure: The Global Perspective. African Renaissance (1744-2532), 21(2). |
[50, 54]
.
Global South states allocated strategically to host refugees during war outbreaks may coerce COOs or international community to meet their demands
[40] | Mitsilegas, V., 2006. Constitutional Implications of Mutual Recognition in Criminal Matters in the EU, The. Common Market L. Rev., 43, p. 1277. |
[47] | Shah, N. M., 2012. Socio-demographic transitions among nationals of GCC countries: implications for migration and labour force trends. Migration and Development, 1(1), pp. 138-148. |
[40, 47]
. For instance, both Kenya and Pakistan coerced through issuing threats and warning to the closure of the Dabaad (Somalis) and Afghan refugees camp respectively
[37] | Micinski, N. R., 2021. Threats, deportability and aid: The politics of refugee rentier states and regional stability. Security Dialogue, p. 09670106211027464. |
[38] | Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan., 2017. Emergency grant aid to Afghan refugee and host communities in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan. 24 February. Available at: https://www.mofa.go.jp/press/release/ press4e_001490.html |
[37, 38]
. In other words, weaker states become ‘buffer’ to absorb and maintain peace, in the region may adopt leverage and threats against the COOs. They adopt coercion measures such as harassment, deportability, threats to expel, and violence towards refugees and migrants to meet their demands
[18] | Fitzpatrick, M. P. 2015 Purging the Empire: Mass Expulsions in Germany, 1871-1914. Oxford: Oxford University Press. |
[11] | Castles, Stephen., 2014. TheAgeofMigration - International Population Movements in the Modern World, 5th ed. New York: The Guilford Press. |
[18, 11]
.
Economic sanctions against COOs as a measure also produces counter results. Therefore, its success or failure depends on the sensitivity and vulnerably of COOs. Economic linkages use against countries enforced them to comply, resist or nationalised. It implies that countries that are sensitive and vulnerable might comply as stated earlier, when Libya and Jordan coerced Egypt
[27] | Keohane, Robert Owen. and Joseph S. Nye., 2012. Power and Interdependence, 4th ed. London: Longman policies in migration and border diplomacy. Comparative Migration Studies, 7(1), pp. 1-22. |
[27]
. Research attributes Jordanians’ expulsion from Kuwait to economic sanction as studies maintain that: ‘‘it may make sense to think of … Jordanian expatriate labour in Kuwait’ to be sparked by ‘economic statecraft’’, but unfortunately, Brand did not advance the argument
[10] | Brand, U. and Wissen, M., 2012. Global environmental politics and the imperial mode of living: articulations of state-capital relations in the multiple crises. Globalizations, 9(4), pp. 547-560. |
[10]
.
Research explains that the US deportation policy against Chinese migrants during the Cold War, but could not convincible conclude whether the deportation was part of the COD’s foreign policy
[46] | Refugee Consortium of Kenya., 2003. Refugee management in Kenya. Forced Migration Review 16: 17-19. Rosenberg D (forthcoming) Agents, structures, and the moral basis of deportability. Security Dialogue. |
[46]
.
Therefore, for migration diplomacy coercion to be successful against the COOs depend on the vulnerability and sensitivity of the state
[27] | Keohane, Robert Owen. and Joseph S. Nye., 2012. Power and Interdependence, 4th ed. London: Longman policies in migration and border diplomacy. Comparative Migration Studies, 7(1), pp. 1-22. |
[27]
. COOs that may easily improve their ties with other states might not bother about threats and leverage of the CODs. However, COO’s vulnerable and does not have any support from other countries may comply with the leverage from CODs
[3] | Adamson, F. B. and Tsourapas, G., 2019. Migration diplomacy in world politics. International Studies Perspectives, 20(2), pp. 113-128. |
[3]
. During conflict relationship of Egypt between Libya and Jordan due to harbouring fugitives of Gaddafi, and cutting of power supply to Jordan, deportation sanction was implemented against Egyptian migrants. Morsi complied with both Libya and Jordan’s demands
[21] | Hollifield, J. F., 1992. Immigrants, Markets, and States: The Political Economy of Postwar Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. |
[21]
. In the GCC states, Filipino HDWs were successful due to their niche market created in the domestic cleaning industry. States’ that serve ties with other nations if leverage; they could look elsewhere for alternatives
[48] | Thiollet, H., 2011. Migration as diplomacy: Labor migrants, refugees, and Arab regional politics in the oil-rich countries. International Labor and Working-Class History, 79(1), pp. 103-121. |
[48]
. Ghanaians deportation from Nigeria also comes in mind. The deportees later migrated to Libya and other countries for their greener pastures
.
Despite, scanty literature on the successful attempts during migration interdependence vulnerability; in May 2015 when two Saudi Arabia domestic workers were executed in Indonesia, Saudi Arabia adopted migrants’ restriction to Indonesia
[8] | Arreguin-Toft, I., 2005. How the weak win wars: A theory of asymmetric conflict (Vol. 99). Cambridge University Press. |
[8]
. But such leverage did not lead to policy changes
[8] | Arreguin-Toft, I., 2005. How the weak win wars: A theory of asymmetric conflict (Vol. 99). Cambridge University Press. |
[8]
. Qatar crisis which resulted in Saudi, the UAE and Bahrain coercion and leverage their migrant workers also failed to produce a shift in foreign migration diplomacy
[8] | Arreguin-Toft, I., 2005. How the weak win wars: A theory of asymmetric conflict (Vol. 99). Cambridge University Press. |
[32] | Maharaj, B., 2010. Immigration to post-apartheid South Africa: Critical reflections. Immigration Worldwide: Policies, practices, and trends, 363. |
[8, 32]
.
The paper argues that through foreign migration diplomacy, cooperation is extended as hospitality to other states based on cultural identities, economic ties, and domestic interests to enhance the international relationship to get recognition, moral status, reputation and credentials. Whereas during frosty relationships the migration cooperation is changed to coercion and leverage of migrants (in)directly through harassment, deportation and deportability to COOs or international communities. However, the success and failure of migration diplomacy depends on the vulnerability and sensitivity of nations whether transit, refugee rentier or peace and security maintainers in the sub-region. The Global South nations that are recognised to be relevant for peace and security maintenance in the region case as Kenya, Pakistan and South Africa might be successful to attract more financial aid from the international community. Whereas the countries that are irrelevant in terms of maintaining peace and security may fail. Moreover, COOs might comply if they are sensitive and vulnerable, whereas the states that are invulnerable and have alternatives might not comply with the coercion and leverage.